The 2025 NFL season charges into Week 11, delivering a slate of matchups packed with high-stakes drama, pivotal divisional clashes, and thrilling international action. From the gridiron of Madrid to prime-time showdowns, this week promises critical moments that could reshape playoff races. Whether you’re a devoted fan tracking every snap, a fantasy manager fine-tuning your lineup, or a bettor looking for an edge, our comprehensive guide provides unparalleled insights.
Our team of expert NFL Nation reporters brings you inside the locker room, revealing the latest team buzz. ESPN Research delivers crucial stats and betting nuggets, while analytics guru Seth Walder offers bold predictions for every contest. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody provides actionable intel to optimize your roster, complemented by Football Power Index (FPI) projections and final score picks from Pamela Maldonado, Moody, and Walder. Get ready to dive deep into every game, from Sunday’s early kickoffs to the Monday Night Football finale.
Kickoff to Week 11: Key Matchups & Global Stage
Week 11 ignites with a unique international flavor as the Miami Dolphins and Washington Commanders face off in Madrid. Stateside, Sunday features intriguing contests like the Buccaneers battling the Bills, a high-flying NFC West rivalry between the Seahawks and Rams, and a titanic NFC showdown as the Lions visit the Eagles on Sunday Night Football. The week culminates with a Monday Night Football clash featuring the Cowboys and Raiders. (All game times are Sunday unless otherwise noted.)
This guide covers every matchup on the 2025 NFL Week 11 schedule:
International Showdown: Miami Dolphins at Washington Commanders (Madrid)
AFC East Rivalry: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills
West Coast Battle: Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
NFC North Intrigue: Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
AFC North Grudge Match: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
Midwest Melee: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Southern Struggle: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
NFC South Skirmish: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
NFC West Showdown: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
Divisional Duel: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
AFC West Classic: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
North Division Rivalry: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Sunday Night Football: Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles
Monday Night Football: Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders
Thursday Night Football: New York Jets at New England Patriots
Teams on a Week 11 bye include the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints.
Dolphins (3-7) at Commanders (3-7) in Madrid
9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Network | ESPN BET: MIA -2.5 (47.5 O/U)
Miami is focused on building momentum after a celebratory win, but Coach Mike McDaniel emphasizes a “24-hour rule” to keep the team laser-focused on the Commanders. As Marcel Louis-Jacques reports, the Dolphins are determined to avoid a “recipe for failure” by looking beyond the immediate challenge. Conversely, Washington coach Dan Quinn has taken over defensive playcalling amidst significant injury concerns. John Keim notes the team’s pass coverage is hit hard by the loss of starting corners Trey Amos (fibula) and Marshon Lattimore (ACL). The run defense, ranking 28th over five weeks, also suffers without Daron Payne (suspension), replaced by the quicker Jer’Zhan Newton.
Statistical Edge: The Commanders boast the NFL’s sixth-highest average of 4.9 yards per rush. This presents a clear advantage against a Dolphins defense allowing 4.9 yards per rush, ranking fifth-worst in the league, per ESPN Research.
Walder’s Bold Take: Commanders RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt is predicted to achieve 80+ rushing yards for the first time in over a month. Walder attributes this to Washington’s league-leading 2.5 yards after contact and Miami’s fourth-worst allowance of 2.2 yards after contact.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody identifies Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle and RB De’Von Achane as reliable fantasy starters. Since Tyreek Hill’s Week 5 injury, Waddle averages 6.8 targets and 14.5 fantasy points, facing a Commanders defense susceptible to wide receivers.
Betting Insight: The Dolphins hold a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) this season when the line is within +/-3 points, according to ESPN Research.
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Dolphins 20, Commanders 12; Moody: Dolphins 32, Commanders 20; Walder: Commanders 27, Dolphins 21. FPI projects WSH to win 51.9% of the time.
Buccaneers (6-3) at Bills (6-3)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BUF -5.5 (47.5 O/U)
Tampa Bay coach Todd Bowles is acutely aware of Buffalo’s explosive offense, particularly Josh Allen’s dual-threat capabilities and James Cook III’s versatility. After struggling with explosive plays last week, the Bucs prioritize containment. Meanwhile, the Bills’ defense is getting healthier with DT T.J. Sanders returning from IR. Alaina Getzenberg reports coordinator Bobby Babich demanding a stronger run defense after allowing 197 yards last week, their season-high.
Statistical Edge: Josh Allen’s turnover rate is a key indicator: he has exactly two turnovers in all three Bills losses, but only one in their six wins (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Bills RB Ty Johnson is predicted to record at least 40 receiving yards. Walder suggests Johnson could capitalize on Bucs LB SirVocea Dennis’s coverage struggles.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody notes Bucs RB Rachaad White’s consistent lead-back duties. Despite a recent cool-off, White faces a Bills defense that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to RBs this season.
Betting Insight: The Buccaneers have covered six consecutive games following a loss, boasting an 8-1 ATS record after a defeat over the past two seasons (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Bills 27, Buccaneers 20; Moody: Bills 27, Buccaneers 24; Walder: Bills 27, Buccaneers 17. FPI projects BUF to win 60.8% of the time.
Chargers (7-3) at Jaguars (5-4)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: LAC -2.5 (43.5 O/U)
Chargers QB Justin Herbert’s frustration boiled over last week, as he was sacked five times and pressured 12. Kris Rhim reports Herbert acknowledging that arguing with officials won’t help. This presents an opportunity for Jacksonville’s pass rush. Michael DiRocco highlights that despite Herbert being the third-most sacked QB (33) and most hit (134), the Jaguars’ edge rushers Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker have only four sacks combined this season. Herbert also plays without his two starting offensive tackles.
Statistical Edge: Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence needs one passing touchdown to reach 80 career TDs, becoming only the fourth player in franchise history to do so (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Herbert is predicted to attempt 40+ passes. Walder cites the Chargers’ second-highest pass rate over expectation (plus-6%) and the Jaguars’ defense inducing the second-highest pass rate (plus-2%).
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody points to the Chargers’ defense as a solid fantasy play, having scored 13+ points in two of their last three games. Their ability to hold QBs to a 38% completion rate under pressure and force five interceptions on deep throws is impressive.
Betting Insight: Lawrence is 2-0 ATS against the Chargers, including playoffs. However, before that, the Chargers had covered nine straight meetings against Jacksonville (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Chargers 29, Jaguars 16; Moody: Chargers 20, Jaguars 16; Walder: Chargers 25, Jaguars 22. FPI projects LAC to win 56.7% of the time.
Packers (5-3-1) at Giants (2-8)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: GB -7.5 (41.5 O/U)
Green Bay’s offense is struggling, prompting coach Matt LaFleur and staff to seek solutions. Rob Demovsky reports QB Jordan Love desires more responsibility, stating, “I love having the ball in my hands.” Meanwhile, the Giants are in disarray after firing coach Brian Daboll. Interim coach Mike Kafka and defensive coordinator Shane Bowen are scrambling to address the team’s chronic fourth-quarter issues, as Green Bay’s 103 points in the fourth quarter double their score in any other quarter.
Statistical Edge: The Packers are attempting to avoid their third straight game with 13 or fewer points, a streak not seen since 1999 (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Giants LB Bobby Okereke is predicted for 12+ tackles. Walder foresees Green Bay’s strong run game exploiting New York’s defensive weakness, leading to numerous tackle opportunities.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody advises leaning on Packers RB Josh Jacobs against a Giants defense that has allowed the second-most fantasy points to RBs. For New York, Moody suggests TE Theo Johnson, who has consistently seen targets and produced points.
Betting Insight: Since 2020, teams making midseason coaching changes are 10-5 ATS in their first game under a new coach (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Packers 24, Giants 10; Moody: Packers 26, Giants 23; Walder: Packers 31, Giants 14. FPI projects GB to win 63.7% of the time.
Bengals (3-6) at Steelers (5-4)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PIT -5.5 (48.5 O/U)
Cincinnati’s rookie guard duo of Dylan Fairchild and Jalen Rivers faces a significant test against Steelers edge rusher Nick Herbig, who leads the league in pass rush win rate (32.8%). Ben Baby quotes coach Zac Taylor emphasizing the importance of winning in the trenches. Pittsburgh, after being upset by Cincinnati’s league-worst rushing attack in Week 7, is now keenly aware of the need to stop RB Chase Brown. Brooke Pryor reports DT Cameron Heyward highlighting the run game as the key to stabilizing the Bengals’ offense.
Statistical Edge: Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase has a receiving touchdown in three consecutive games against the Steelers, aiming to be the first player since Carl Pickens (1994-96) to achieve four straight (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Steelers TEs are predicted to combine for 10+ receptions. Walder notes Pittsburgh’s high target rate to TEs (34%) and the Bengals’ defense allowing the most targets to the position (26%).
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody projects RB Jaylen Warren for the Steelers to exceed his floor of 13.7 fantasy points, as Cincinnati’s defense has allowed the most fantasy points per game to RBs this season.
Betting Insight: Five straight Bengals games have gone over the total, with overs being 7-2 in their games this season (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Steelers 34, Bengals 28; Moody: Bengals 27, Steelers 21; Walder: Bengals 30, Steelers 23. FPI projects PIT to win 58.6% of the time.
Bears (6-3) at Vikings (4-5)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: MIN -2.5 (48.5 O/U)
Caleb Williams’ “Houdini” act has been instrumental for the Bears, tying for the league lead with four winning drives this season. Courtney Cronin highlights Williams’ 94 QBR in the final two minutes of halves, with three touchdowns and no turnovers. Conversely, Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy ranks 44th of 46 QBs in off-target percentage (22.1%). Kevin Seifert raises concerns about McCarthy’s accuracy given a bruised right hand, even against a Bears defense allowing the fifth-most touchdown passes (20).
Statistical Edge: Despite the Bears being tied for the NFC North lead, Caleb Williams holds a 1-7 record against divisional opponents, including 0-2 this season (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: McCarthy is predicted to throw multiple interceptions. Walder points to McCarthy’s low 26.6 QBR over four games, suggesting that despite a seemingly soft matchup, the QB’s struggles will prevail.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody sees potential for Vikings WRs Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison against a Bears defense that has allowed the third-most yards per target and fantasy points to WRs. Jefferson historically performs well against the Bears.
Betting Insight: All five Bears road games this season have gone over the total. Similarly, all five Vikings games against winning teams have also gone over (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Vikings 24, Bears 14; Moody: Vikings 26, Bears 24; Walder: Bears 23, Vikings 17. FPI projects MIN to win 50.1% of the time.
Texans (4-5) at Titans (1-8)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: HOU -6.5 (37.5 O/U)
Houston has failed twice to reach .500 this season, but faces a struggling Titans team with the league’s worst record. DJ Bien-Aime reports defensive coordinator Matt Burke emphasizing focus after a 19-point comeback win. Tennessee, shut out by Houston in Week 4, aims to correct past mistakes. Turron Davenport notes QB Cam Ward’s focus on stepping up in the pocket to counter Houston’s strong edge rushers. Houston’s stingy defense allows a league-best 16.7 points per game, while the Titans score an NFL-low 14.4.
Statistical Edge: Texans WR Nico Collins recorded season highs in targets (15) and receiving yards (136) last week, but has gone three straight games without a receiving touchdown (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Titans Edge Arden Key is predicted to record a sack. Walder highlights Key’s impressive 22.5% pass rush win rate at Edge against a struggling Texans offensive line.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody identifies Texans RB Woody Marks as a strong fantasy play. With 16+ touches, Marks averages 19.7 fantasy points, facing a Titans defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to RBs.
Betting Insight: The Titans are 8-1-1 ATS in their past 10 games following a bye week (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Texans 23, Titans 16; Moody: Texans 30, Titans 13; Walder: Texans 23, Titans 13. FPI projects HOU to win 67.2% of the time.
Panthers (5-5) at Falcons (3-6)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: ATL -3.5 (41.5 O/U)
Carolina has struggled to move the ball downfield, particularly to rookie WR Tetairoa McMillan, averaging only 11.25 points over their last four games. David Newton suggests the Saints’ strategy of stopping the run and daring QB Bryce Young to win could be a blueprint. The Panthers are expected to make offensive adjustments. Atlanta’s WR Drake London has been exceptional since Week 4, with the fifth-most receiving yards (532) and tied for second-most touchdowns (six). Marc Raimondi notes London’s success against zone coverage, which the Panthers utilize a league-high 84.8% of the time.
Statistical Edge: Bryce Young is 5-4 as a starter this season, just one win shy of matching his total from his first two seasons combined (6-22) (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Falcons CB A.J. Terrell Jr. is predicted to allow no more than one reception to McMillan. Walder cites Terrell’s elite coverage metrics, including 0.5 yards per coverage snap allowed.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody backs Panthers RB Rico Dowdle, who averages 24.0 fantasy points in games with 18+ touches. He faces a Falcons defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to RBs since Week 7.
Betting Insight: The Falcons hold a 1-4 ATS record as favorites this season (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Falcons 28, Panthers 21; Moody: Falcons 23, Panthers 20; Walder: Falcons 19, Panthers 16. FPI projects ATL to win 58.8% of the time.
Seahawks (7-2) at Rams (7-2)
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: LAR -3.5 (48.5 O/U)
This matchup is a direct battle for NFC West supremacy. Seattle’s fifth-ranked scoring defense faces Rams QB Matthew Stafford, a leading MVP candidate with a league-high 25 touchdown passes and only two interceptions. Brady Henderson quotes Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald, who believes this is Stafford’s best season yet. The Rams have a 50% chance to win the division, which would jump to 66% with a win, according to ESPN Research. Sarah Barshop reports Stafford downplaying the game’s significance, viewing it as “just another opportunity.”
Statistical Edge: Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with 1,041 receiving yards, a franchise record for the first nine games of a season (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Rams DT Kobie Turner is predicted to record a sack. Walder highlights the absence of Seahawks starting C Jalen Sundell and the inconsistent play of backup Olu Oluwatimi and guards Grey Zabel and Anthony Bradford.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody cautions against starting Seahawks RBs Kenneth Walker III or Zach Charbonnet, as the Rams’ defense allows the fewest fantasy points to running backs. The Seahawks may need to rely on QB Sam Darnold and their passing game.
Betting Insight: The Seahawks are undefeated on the road this season, both outright (4-0) and ATS (4-0). They are 11-1 outright on the road under Macdonald (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Seahawks 28, Rams 23; Moody: Rams 27, Seahawks 24; Walder: Rams 26, Seahawks 20. FPI projects LAR to win 59.9% of the time.
49ers (6-4) at Cardinals (3-6)
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: SF -2.5 (48.5 O/U)
The 49ers’ defense is more vulnerable to TEs without star LB Fred Warner (ankle), allowing the third-most touchdowns to the position (six). Nick Wagoner notes this comes as Cardinals TE Trey McBride has excelled with QB Jacoby Brissett, averaging eight receptions and 82 yards in recent weeks, especially with WRs Marvin Harrison Jr. (appendicitis) and Zay Jones (Achilles) out. The Cardinals are severely depleted by injuries, with eight players not practicing. Josh Weinfuss reports coach Jonathan Gannon acknowledging that this is “life in the NFL.”
Statistical Edge: The 49ers are averaging 22.0 points per game, ranking 23rd in the NFL, their fewest through 10 games since 2017 (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: 49ers backup RB Brian Robinson Jr. is predicted to rush for at least 50 yards for the second time this season. Walder cites the Cardinals’ weakness against outside zone runs (5.5 yards per carry allowed) and Robinson’s effectiveness.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody suggests Brissett has revived Arizona’s passing game. With Harrison out, McBride becomes the focal point, averaging 22.6 fantasy points in games with 10+ targets.
Betting Insight: The Cardinals have been a strong underdog bet, going 11-4 ATS since the start of last season (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: 49ers 23, Cardinals 20; Moody: 49ers 31, Cardinals 20; Walder: 49ers 23, Cardinals 16. FPI projects SF to win 57.5% of the time.
Chiefs (5-4) at Broncos (8-2)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: KC -3.5 (44.5 O/U)
The Chiefs aren’t worried about DT Chris Jones’s slow start, despite only two sacks. Coach Andy Reid emphasizes that Jones is still drawing double teams. The Broncos, on a seven-game win streak, view this as a prime opportunity to win the AFC West, a possibility not seen since the Peyton Manning era. Jeff Legwold highlights Denver’s league-best 46 sacks, and the significant impact of hits on Patrick Mahomes: 9.3 hits per loss versus 5.8 hits per win. Pat Surtain II’s absence due to a pectoral injury is a major factor.
Statistical Edge: The Chiefs are looking to avoid consecutive losses multiple times in a season for the first time since 2017 (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Mahomes is predicted to record a 90+ QBR and become the MVP favorite. Walder points to Mahomes’ hot streak, the Chiefs coming off a bye, and Surtain’s absence for Denver.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody predicts a massive workload for Broncos RB RJ Harvey due to J.K. Dobbins’ foot injury. Despite a tough matchup, Harvey averages 1.3 fantasy points per touch and performed well in his only game with 10+ touches.
Betting Insight: The Broncos are 5-0 outright at home this season (but 2-3 ATS). QB Bo Nix is 0-2 ATS as a home underdog (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Chiefs 27, Broncos 22; Moody: Chiefs 27, Broncos 20; Walder: Chiefs 30, Broncos 10. FPI projects KC to win 60.0% of the time.
Ravens (4-5) at Browns (2-7)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BAL -7.5 (39.5 O/U)
Lamar Jackson is not at full strength due to knee soreness, putting extra pressure on the Ravens’ offensive line to protect him from Myles Garrett, who has 8.5 sacks in his last nine games against Baltimore. Jamison Hensley notes the Ravens have allowed 25 sacks this season, already one more than all of last year. The Browns, despite a disastrous loss, have historically played the Ravens tight under coach Kevin Stefanski, holding a 3-2 home record against them. Daniel Oyefusi quotes Stefanski recognizing Jackson’s dual-threat challenge.
Statistical Edge: The Browns boast the NFL’s second-fewest yards allowed per game (264.9) and a league-low 15.7 first downs allowed per game (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Ravens WR Zay Flowers is predicted to record his first 100-yard receiving game since Week 1. Walder highlights Flowers’ impressive 2.6 yards per route run, ranking sixth among all WRs.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody sees Browns RB Quinshon Judkins as a strong play despite his Week 10 performance, given his 24 touches. The Ravens’ defense, though improved, has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to RBs, and 15+ points to an opposing lead back in four straight games.
Betting Insight: The last four Ravens-Browns games have all gone over the total (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Ravens 24, Browns 9; Moody: Ravens 38, Browns 20; Walder: Ravens 27, Browns 13. FPI projects BAL to win 78.4% of the time.
Lions (6-3) at Eagles (7-2)
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | ESPN BET: PHI -2.5 (46.5 O/U)
The Eagles are the only NFC team Dan Campbell’s Lions haven’t beaten, having lost 0-2 under his tenure. Eric Woodyard quotes Campbell’s competitive desire to “win” against a team that has “got after us both times.” Philadelphia’s defensive line, bolstered by Jaelan Phillips and Nolan Smith Jr.’s return, dominated last week with 21 pressures and eight QB hits. Tim McManus notes Jared Goff’s struggles under pressure, completing just 50% of throws with a TD and two interceptions, versus an 83% completion rate when clean.
Statistical Edge: The Eagles have only four turnovers this season, the fewest in the NFL and a franchise record through nine games (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: The Eagles are predicted to have a positive pass rate over expectation for only the second time this season. Walder suggests it’s logical for them to throw more against Detroit’s defense.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody highlights a unique opportunity for Eagles QB Jalen Hurts and WRs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. The Lions’ defense is stronger against the run than the pass, and their defensive front ranks last in pass rush win rate, potentially giving Hurts ample time.
Betting Insight: The Lions are an impressive 12-4 ATS in prime-time games under Dan Campbell (ESPN Research).
Expert Picks: Maldonado: Eagles 21, Lions 20; Moody: Eagles 30, Lions 24; Walder: Lions 24, Eagles 20. FPI projects PHI to win 50.8% of the time.
Cowboys (3-5-1) at Raiders (2-7)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | ESPN BET: DAL, -3.5 (49.5 O/U)
The Cowboys face a difficult emotional challenge playing less than two weeks after teammate Marshawn Kneeland’s death. Todd Archer quotes coach Brian Schottenheimer on honoring Kneeland through their play. The Raiders recently fired special teams coordinator Tom McMahon after a blocked punt and missed field goal contributed to a loss. Ryan McFadden reports interim coordinator Derius Swinton II will focus on execution rather than wholesale scheme changes.
Statistical Edge: Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty accounts for 70% of his team’s rushing yards, ranking third highest in the NFL (ESPN Research).
Walder’s Bold Take: Raiders WR Tre Tucker is predicted to make a 40+ yard reception. Walder notes Tucker’s deep routes, particularly over the middle, which is a weakness for the Cowboys’ defense.
Fantasy Impact: Eric Moody identifies WRs CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens as primed for big games against a Raiders secondary that has allowed the fourth-most receptions and fantasy points to wideouts. The Cowboys’ offensive line also ranks ninth in pass block win rate.
Betting Insight: Overs are 5-1 in the Cowboys’ past six games (ESPN Research).
- Expert Picks: Maldonado: Cowboys 26, Raiders 23; Moody: Cowboys 34, Raiders 23; Walder: Cowboys 28, Raiders 14. FPI projects DAL to win 58.6% of the time.
- mtgamer.com
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the biggest upsets or surprises predicted for NFL Week 11?
While most expert picks lean towards favorites, Seth Walder’s bold predictions often highlight potential upsets or unexpected individual performances. For instance, Walder picks the Commanders to upset the Dolphins, and the Bears to beat the Vikings, despite FPI and other analysts favoring the opposite. His rationale often hinges on specific player matchups or tactical advantages, like Jacory Croskey-Merritt’s expected rushing yards or J.J. McCarthy’s interception struggles. Bettors should note the Buccaneers’ strong ATS record after a loss.
How do injuries impact fantasy football decisions for Week 11, particularly at running back and wide receiver?
Injuries significantly shape fantasy strategies. For Week 11, the absence of Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) elevates Jaylen Waddle’s target share, making him a reliable fantasy option. Similarly, J.K. Dobbins’ injury for the Broncos places a heavy workload on RJ Harvey. For the 49ers, the Cardinals’ injured secondary and Fred Warner’s absence influence offensive game plans, making Trey McBride a focal point. Always review the latest injury reports, as Eric Moody’s fantasy analysis often identifies players set to benefit from increased volume due to teammate absences or favorable defensive matchups.
What are the key betting trends and FPI projections to consider for Week 11 games?
Several significant betting trends emerge for NFL Week 11. The Dolphins struggle ATS when the line is tight, while the Buccaneers are exceptional ATS after a loss. The Giants, under a new interim coach, might be a contrarian bet given historical trends. Overs are a frequent occurrence in Bengals, Bears road, and Cowboys games. The Football Power Index (FPI) provides a percentage chance and average point differential for each team, offering an objective measure alongside expert picks. For instance, the Ravens hold a high 78.4% FPI win probability against the Browns, suggesting a dominant performance.
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Conclusion
NFL Week 11 of the 2025 season is poised to be an unforgettable chapter, featuring everything from crucial divisional rivalries to an exciting international spectacle. Our comprehensive guide has distilled the essential insights, blending locker room reports, vital statistics, fantasy intelligence, and expert predictions to arm you with the knowledge needed to fully appreciate every moment. Whether you’re making your final fantasy roster adjustments, placing a strategic wager, or simply enjoying the unparalleled drama of professional football, this Week 11 breakdown is your ultimate companion.
