The curtain has closed on the 2025 NBA draft, a night that delivered on its promise of unexpected turns and franchise-altering decisions. Headlined by top talents like Cooper Flagg landing with the Dallas Mavericks at No. 1 and Dylan Harper joining the San Antonio Spurs at No. 2, the first round unfolded with plenty of twists, revealing both celebrated selections and head-scratching maneuvers. Teams navigated their draft boards, balancing raw talent against team needs, cap sheets, and long-term visions. Analysts have now sifted through the results, identifying the picks that offered incredible value, the classes poised for future success, and the surprising moves that defied pre-draft consensus. We delve into the key takeaways from this pivotal event, offering expert perspectives on who won the night and what it means for the league landscape.
This draft class featured several players who were the subject of intense scouting and debate throughout the season. For instance, Ace Bailey, a highly-ranked prospect, ultimately landed with the Utah Jazz at No. 5, a destination different from some earlier projections. The New Orleans Pelicans made a bold push, trading significant assets to unite Jeremiah Fears and Derik Queen. Meanwhile, the Portland Trail Blazers raised eyebrows with the highest-ranked surprise pick of the first round, selecting Yang Hansen, who was projected much lower by many analysts. The Brooklyn Nets were particularly active, using all five of their first-round selections to commit heavily to a youth movement.
But beyond the top names and surprising reaches, questions linger. What were the smartest value picks? Which teams assembled the most promising rookie classes? And which players are positioned to compete for NBA All-Rookie honors next season? Experts who have tracked these prospects for years weigh in on the draft’s fallout, highlighting the decisions they admired, those that caught them off guard, and their early predictions for the road ahead. Let’s break down the 2025 NBA Draft by addressing the most pressing questions.
Analyzing the Top Selections and Immediate Fits
Choosing the absolute “favorite pick” from the entire draft is subjective, but some selections immediately stand out for addressing team needs or representing exceptional value. For one expert, Kasparas Jakucionis joining the Miami Heat at No. 20 was a clear winner. Ranked significantly higher on their personal big board (No. 10), Jakucionis is seen as a perfect cultural and schematic fit for Miami. His size (6-foot-6) combined with shot creation and playmaking skills fills a crucial backcourt void, offering versatility to play alongside guards like Tyler Herro or potentially Davion Mitchell, fitting the modern NBA’s positional fluidity. Notably, Miami also secured undrafted center Vlad Goldin, adding another international presence to their roster, which already features European talent.
Another analyst highlighted Khaman Maluach going to the Phoenix Suns at No. 10. While questions remain about the Suns’ overall outlook, Maluach is viewed as a vital addition who directly addresses their defensive shortcomings, particularly in the paint. Described as the exact type of jumbo paint protector Phoenix lacked, Maluach, alongside newcomer Mark Williams, is expected to help establish a much-needed defensive identity. He projects as a player who can thrive complementing the Suns’ established ball-dominant perimeter stars.
Beyond individual picks, landing in the “ideal situation” is paramount for maximizing a player’s talent. Despite some pre-draft noise regarding preferred destinations, Ace Bailey’s landing spot with the Utah Jazz at No. 5 is considered potentially perfect. The Jazz offer ample opportunity due to a lack of established star power, an excellent coaching staff, and a passionate fanbase. This environment provides Bailey, a highly talented but somewhat polarizing prospect according to pre-draft analysis, the chance to quickly acclimate and reach his All-Star potential.
Similarly, Egor Demin joining the Brooklyn Nets at No. 8 is viewed as an ideal scenario for the jumbo playmaker. Although some evaluations were less optimistic, the Nets situation offers Demin immediate on-ball reps, the chance to play through mistakes, and the opportunity to pair with other talented passers Brooklyn drafted. This blank-slate environment is seen as crucial for Demin’s development, allowing him to spread his wings rather than having to fight for minutes on a deeper roster.
Identifying the Draft’s Best Value Picks
Value picks are selections where teams acquire players rated significantly higher by analysts than where they were ultimately drafted. Liam McNeeley falling to the Charlotte Hornets at No. 29 was highlighted as potentially the best value. Ranked as high as No. 17 on some boards, McNeeley’s slide was attributed partly to inconsistent shooting in workout settings despite a career reputation as a shooter. However, experts believe his shooting will translate better with NBA spacing and in a smaller offensive role. Furthermore, his size (6-foot-8), toughness, feel for the game, and overall skill level make him a significant steal late in the first round, especially for a Hornets team that recently traded a key big man.
Kasparas Jakucionis also garnered mention as a top value pick, reinforcing the idea that Miami benefited from players unexpectedly falling. Seen by some as a top-10 talent, his availability at No. 20 addressed Miami’s specific need for a playmaking guard. While he was a polarizing prospect for some teams, analysts predict this pick will look increasingly favorable for the Heat over time.
Surprises, Classes, and Trades
Every draft has its surprises, picks that nobody saw coming based on mock drafts and consensus rankings. The selection of Egor Demin by the Nets at No. 8 was surprising to one expert, who had him ranked lower than Maluach and Jakucionis. However, they noted the Nets’ clear intent to secure starting point guard candidates, a role Demin could potentially grow into, especially given the opportunity to play through mistakes alongside other ball-handlers.
Perhaps the most fascinating surprise, however, was the Portland Trail Blazers selecting Yang Hansen at No. 16. Yang was ranked as low as No. 47 by some analysts in pre-draft tiers, viewed more as a stash candidate for the second round or later. While possessing an intriguing skillset for a young big, his lack of dominance in China and questions about his offensive translation made his selection inside the top 20 a major gamble. The move highlighted a team prioritizing conviction over conventional wisdom, opting to secure a player they loved rather than risking a trade-back scenario that might not have materialized.
Assessing draft classes as a whole requires looking beyond individual picks to the collective impact and fit. The Charlotte Hornets received praise for their overall class. Beyond the value pick of Liam McNeeley, the additions of Kon Knueppel (No. 4) and Ryan Kalkbrenner (No. 34) were seen as strong moves. Knueppel’s feel for the game, toughness, and selfless style make him a good fit alongside LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller, potentially providing needed shooting and complementary skills. Kalkbrenner offers an NBA-ready center on a cost-controlled rookie deal, filling an immediate roster need.
Conversely, the New Orleans Pelicans’ class was viewed with skepticism by one analyst, less for the talent acquired than for the process and potential fit issues. Trading significant assets to acquire both Jeremiah Fears (No. 7) and Derik Queen (No. 13) raised concerns about a potentially crowded backcourt (with Jordan Poole) and a challenging frontcourt fit alongside Zion Williamson. Neither Queen nor Williamson are elite perimeter shooters or rim protectors, potentially leading to spacing and defensive challenges. While acknowledging a new front office putting its stamp on the team, the decision to trade away a potentially high 2026 first-round pick for this move added pressure for the current roster to perform immediately.
Draft night trades also play a crucial role in shaping team futures. The Atlanta Hawks’ decision to trade down from No. 13 to No. 23 (ultimately drafting Asa Newell) was seen as a savvy move, acquiring a projected high 2026 first-round pick for a relatively small move down. This maneuver highlighted the Pelicans’ aggressive, perhaps overly transparent, pursuit of Derik Queen, which may have weakened their negotiating leverage.
The least favorite trade involved the Memphis Grizzlies moving up just five spots, from No. 16 to No. 11, by giving up an unprotected 2028 first-round pick and two second-rounders. This significant haul for a relatively small jump, even with potential competition for their target player (Cedric Coward), felt like an overpay, especially considering the softening trade market later in the first round.
Who Will Surprise? Predicting Rookie Impact
Looking ahead, identifying which players might significantly outperform their draft position is a popular exercise. Hugo Gonzalez, selected by the Boston Celtics at No. 28, was highlighted as a potential surprise riser. Ranked as high as No. 15 on one board, his fall was attributed to limited playing time with Real Madrid. However, his strong resume in international youth competitions and projected fit with Boston’s defensive intensity make him a compelling candidate to exceed expectations, provided his significant buyout with Real Madrid can be navigated.
Will Riley, drafted by the Washington Wizards at No. 21, is another player projected by an analyst to surprise. Despite concerns about his thin frame (6-foot-8, 180 pounds), his genuine offensive talent and landing spot with a Wizards team prioritizing young player development could see him thrive. Few wings with legitimate size and offensive ability fail simply due to being too skinny; his game is considered solid enough to make an impact over time.
Predicting the NBA Rookie of the Year is often straightforward for consensus top picks. Cooper Flagg, the No. 1 selection by the Mavericks, is considered the overwhelming favorite. As the projected best player in the class, he is expected to step into a significant role immediately for a Mavericks team potentially needing shot creation, especially awaiting Kyrie Irving’s return from injury. Analysts see him figuring out the NBA game quickly and making a strong case for the award from day one.
The NBA All-Rookie First Team selections involve identifying five players expected to have the most impactful inaugural seasons. Consensus predictions often include the top lottery picks who receive significant minutes. Projected names for the 2026 team include Cooper Flagg (Mavericks), Dylan Harper (Spurs), Ace Bailey (Jazz), and Kon Knueppel (Hornets). Tre Johnson (Wizards) and Walter Clayton Jr. (Jazz) were also mentioned as strong possibilities by different analysts.
Prospects to Watch in the G League and Undrafted Pool
While the draft focuses on selections, the G League serves as a vital developmental path, and the undrafted free agent pool can yield valuable finds. Javon Small, the No. 48 pick by Memphis, is seen as a strong candidate to light up the G League. A first-team All-Conference player known for shot creation, shotmaking, and toughness, his game is expected to translate well to the G League’s fast-paced environment. He could emerge as a high-scoring playmaker, potentially following a path similar to other successful G League graduates for Memphis.
Among the undrafted players, Ryan Nembhard, reportedly signing a two-way deal with the Mavericks, is a player to follow. Despite size limitations, his feel for playmaking and ability to involve teammates could see him become one of the top guards in the G League when assigned there. The Mavericks’ need for point guard depth might even fast-track him to an NBA roster spot.
Eric Dixon, an undrafted forward reportedly joining the Los Angeles Lakers, is another intriguing prospect. As a high-scoring college player known for his versatile scoring (inside and out) and physicality, he offers a unique mismatch potential. While his defense remains a question, his toughness and offensive skillset make him a valuable addition for the Lakers. The story of Lakers president Rob Pelinka meeting with Dixon and sharing an anecdote about Kobe Bryant and Michelangelo highlights the team’s specific interest and focus on the player’s mindset and craft.
John Poulakidas, an undrafted guard reportedly signing an Exhibit-10 deal with the LA Clippers, is another deep sleeper to monitor. His size (6-foot-6) and reputation as a very good shooter make him a valuable archetype in the modern NBA. If he can improve his defensive contributions, his shooting prowess could help him bypass traditional development timelines and potentially earn a roster spot.
Five Years Out: Long-Term Predictions
Looking further into the future, predicting the impact of this draft class five years from now requires foresight and speculation. One analyst boldly predicted that Joan Beringer (No. 17 to the Minnesota Timberwolves) will be an All-Defensive team candidate within five years. His rare opportunity to learn directly from a four-time Defensive Player of the Year like Rudy Gobert, combined with his rapid development since starting basketball late and his proven shot-blocking and rim protection instincts in professional play, give him immense long-term defensive upside.
Another long-term prediction centered on the Brooklyn Nets’ draft class, suggesting it will age better than expected. Despite questions about skill overlap and shooting consistency among their five first-round picks (Demin, Nolan Traore, Drake Powell, Ben Saraf, Danny Wolf), the analyst saw a clear vision: building an unselfish team of high-IQ passers with above-average size. While perimeter shooting is a collective variable, the emphasis on playmaking and ball movement among players who enjoy passing is seen as a potential strength. The Nets appear committed to giving these players minutes to develop together, build chemistry, and play a distinct style, which could facilitate easier looks and lead to several players exceeding initial expectations.
Overall Draft Takeaways
Stepping back to view the 2025 NBA Draft as a whole, two overarching themes emerged. First, college basketball appears to be regaining prominence as a primary pathway to the NBA. Following recent drafts heavily featuring international non-collegiate prospects, the 2025 draft saw historically low numbers of such players in the first round. This shift is partly attributed to the appeal of Name, Image, and Likeness (NIL) opportunities, which incentivizes players to remain in college or attracts international talent to the U.S. collegiate system, as seen with players like Demin and Jakucionis. While potential revenue-sharing changes might impact future NIL salaries, the trend suggests college development remains a strong force.
Second, the draft served as a powerful reminder that “consensus” is often just a concept. The numerous surprises throughout the first round illustrated teams’ willingness to trust their unique evaluations and draft boards above public or media perceptions of value. Whether it was Memphis trading up significantly for a specific player, New Orleans making an aggressive bid for their targets, Portland reaching for Yang Hansen, or Brooklyn committing fully to their vision with multiple picks, the night underscored that the draft is ultimately in the eye of the beholder. Teams demonstrated conviction, selecting players they believed in, even if it meant diverging sharply from pre-draft expectations, making for an unpredictable and entertaining event.
Frequently Asked Questions
What were the biggest surprises of the 2025 NBA Draft?
The draft featured several unexpected picks. The Portland Trail Blazers selecting Yang Hansen at No. 16 was a major surprise, as many analysts projected him much lower, potentially outside the first round entirely. The Brooklyn Nets picking Egor Demin at No. 8 also raised eyebrows, as some scouts had other players, like Khaman Maluach or Kasparas Jakucionis, ranked higher. Players like Hugo Gonzalez and Will Riley falling later than their perceived talent level by some experts also counted as surprises.
Which players are predicted to make the 2026 NBA All-Rookie First Team?
Analysts anticipate the 2026 NBA All-Rookie First Team will likely feature several top lottery picks who receive significant playing time. Common predictions include No. 1 pick Cooper Flagg (Mavericks), No. 2 pick Dylan Harper (Spurs), No. 5 pick Ace Bailey (Jazz), and No. 4 pick Kon Knueppel (Hornets). Tre Johnson (Wizards) and Walter Clayton Jr. (Jazz) were also mentioned as strong candidates depending on their immediate impact and role with their teams.
Which teams were highlighted for having the best or least favorable draft classes?
The Charlotte Hornets received praise for assembling one of the most favorable classes, acquiring Kon Knueppel (No. 4), Liam McNeeley (No. 29), and Ryan Kalkbrenner (No. 34), addressing needs with value and fit. The San Antonio Spurs were also lauded for securing Dylan Harper (No. 2) and Carter Bryant (No. 14), aligning with their long-term youth movement around Victor Wembanyama. Conversely, the New Orleans Pelicans’ class was viewed less favorably by some analysts, primarily due to the significant draft capital traded away for Jeremiah Fears (No. 7) and Derik Queen (No. 13), raising concerns about roster fit and the cost incurred.
